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    发布时间:2026-08-26  

    声之形

    US transshipment claims attempt to build ‘higher fence,’ disrupt global supply chains: experts_我的网站

    火影忍者

    A |     

    Shipping containers are loaded and unloaded onto ships at the Port of Los Angeles, California, on July 9, 2025. US President Donald Trump has sent letters to multiple countries dictating new US tariff rates on their countries' imports to the USA. Photo: VCG
        Shipping containers are loaded and unloaded onto ships at the Port of Los Angeles, California, on July 9, 2025. Photo: VCG
    When even major US allies and trading partners are swept into Washington's alleged China-linked transshipment network, is the US still cracking down on its so-called illegal tariff evasion, or is it raising its "small yard, high fence" higher and tighten it further by wielding its tariff stick and extending tariff controls across normal global supply chains?
    The White House on Thursday released a report identifying roughly 40 economies as participants in what it calls a "Shadow Transshipment Network", alleging that Chinese goods are being routed through third countries to evade higher US tariffs. The list stretches across Asia, Europe and the Americas and includes some of Washington's closest allies and largest trading partners.
    Chinese experts said the report is partly aimed at defending Washington's tariff policy by shifting responsibility for its weakened impact onto other economies, while also pressuring them to follow US trade and origin rules. In effect, the US is trying to extend its unilateral trade restrictions beyond its own borders and deeper into global supply chains, they said.
    Build 'higher fence'
    The 25-page report claims that US import sourcing saw a "substantial reallocation" after the 2018 tariffs, as China's direct share declined and imports from identified transshipment economies rose. It alleges that some goods were routed through lower-tariff jurisdictions, where minor processing, relabeling, repackaging, re-invoicing or paperwork changes were used to create the appearance of a new national origin. 
    However, the report itself acknowledges that alleged transshipment risks in several major economies are "embedded within broad legitimate trade flows." It also admitted that the post-2018 shift in US imports "does not establish" that all displaced Chinese trade was illegally transshipped and partly reflected "legitimate changes in production, investment, and sourcing."
    False declarations of origin or simple repackaging can amount to tariff circumvention, but investing overseas, building factories abroad or sourcing components across borders are legitimate forms of supply-chain adjustment, experts said.
    One purpose of the report is to portray Washington's tariff policy as effective while attributing its diminished impact to the responses of other economies, Zhou Mi, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, told the Global Times. 
    This allows Washington to shift responsibility onto other economies and put itself in a more favorable position in shaping the narrative around its tariff policy, Zhou said.
    Cui Fan, a professor at the University of International Business and Economics, told the Global Times that US rules for determining country of origin are not fully aligned with those used by other economies. The latest move could pressure other countries to adopt US standards, but Cui said such an approach is unlikely to work.
    "Countries formulate their rules of origin based on a range of factors, including the scale and technological conditions of their own industries," Cui said. "Industrial structures and the global division of labor cannot be reshaped simply through pressure from one country."
    Harmonization of rules of origin - applying the same rules across countries regardless of purpose - "would facilitate the flow of international trade," according to WTO on its website. 
    It has also warned that misuse of such rules may turn them into "a trade policy instrument" rather than merely a device supporting other trade policy measures, according to WTO.
    Washington was pursuing hegemonic politics and unilateral bullying in the economic and trade sphere under the guise of "reciprocity", a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Commerce said when commenting on the US use of tariffs to pressure other countries into restricting economic and trade cooperation with China. 
    Disrupting global supply chains

    Cui said production and trade networks linking China with South Korea, Europe and other economies have taken shape over years of market-driven specialization. By lowering production and logistics costs and improving efficiency, these networks have benefited businesses and consumers across participating economies.
    "The real challenge facing global trade today is not so-called illegal transshipment, but the continued damage that unilateralism and trade protectionism are inflicting on the multilateral trading system," Cui added.
    Since returning to office, the Trump administration has made tariffs a centerpiece of its trade policy, rolling out sweeping "reciprocal tariffs" and other broad duties that have drawn widespread criticism at home and abroad. On Thursday, Washington announced new Section 232 tariffs on drones and their parts and components, further expanding the range of products subject to US tariffs.
    US tariffs have themselves pushed companies to reconfigure supply chains. Washington is now citing those very adjustments as evidence of circumvention, effectively using the market fallout from its own tariff policy to justify further trade restrictions, Chinese experts noted.
    International trade is based on mutual benefit, and sovereign countries have the legitimate right to conduct economic and trade cooperation independently, Cui said. "No country should interfere with normal global trade simply to advance its own unilateral interests."
    The report broadens its scrutiny beyond routing and documentation to include China-origin inputs or components, Chinese ownership or financing, relationships with Chinese suppliers or manufacturers, China-based production steps and China-origin routing histories.
    Analysts believed the latest move is more than simply making the existing "high fence" higher. By trying to bring more economies and a larger portion of global supply chains within the reach of US tariff enforcement, Washington attempted to make the "yard" itself much bigger.
    Cui warned that sustained US pressure to reshape normal trade and supply-chain links could fragment mature regional production networks, and reduce the efficiency of global resource allocation, with the impact extending far beyond China-US trade given the wide range of economies named in the report.
    Zhou noted that companies would be forced to redesign supply chains to manage rising policy risks, adding costs that could feed back into the US through higher inflation while creating broader frictions and instability for global trade.
    。    近期,新加坡元兑人民币汇率持续攀升,引发了市场的广泛关注。随着汇率逼近5.5的关口,投资者和企业纷纷开始重新评估他们的外汇策略。这一变化将对新加坡和中国之间的贸易往来及投资活动产生深远影响。1. 汇率变动背后的原因新加坡元兑人民币汇率的迅速上涨,主要受到全球经济形势和货币政策变化的影响。随着中国经济增速放缓以及新加坡经济的相对稳定,投资者对新加坡元的需求逐步增加,推动了汇率的上扬。同时,美联储的货币政策调整也在一定程度上影响了全球资本流动,导致资金流向包括新加坡在内的相对稳定市场。市场预期新加坡元的升值趋势可能会持续,进一步推动汇率突破5.5的心理关口。来源:Google财经2. 对投资者和企业的影响汇率的波动对跨境贸易和投资具有直接影响。对于依赖中国市场的新加坡企业而言,人民币贬值将提高进口成本,可能削弱其在中国市场的竞争力。同时,新加坡的出口商可能会受益于人民币贬值带来的价格优势。对于个人投资者而言,汇率的变动也带来了新的机会和风险。

    B | 持有人民币资产的投资者可能需要重新评估其投资组合,而持有新加坡元的投资者则可能在短期内获得更高的回报。来源:新加坡椰子3. 市场展望与专家建议面对汇率即将突破5.5关口的局势,市场专家建议投资者保持谨慎。尽管短期内新加坡元的升值趋势明显,但长期来看,全球经济的不确定性仍然存在,汇率可能会出现反转的风险。专家建议企业和投资者密切关注国际市场动态,及时调整外汇对冲策略,以应对可能的波动。同时,企业应加强成本管理,避免因汇率波动对利润率产生不利影响。来源:联合早报新加坡元兑人民币汇率的上扬不仅仅是数字的变化,更是市场风向的指引。

    C | 在这一关键时刻,企业和投资者需要做出明智决策,积极应对可能出现的市场波动。

    D | 随着汇率接近5.5的关口,未来的外汇市场将迎来更多挑战与机遇。

    E |

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